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Long only: when state flips to UP on a name with 90d vol ≥ 35% (green badge), enter at that bar's close. Stop 5% below entry (daily close basis). Exit on flip to DOWN or stop — whichever first. Typical hold ~50 trading days.
What tested negative: shorting down-flips (they mean stand aside), waiting for a ribbon retest before entry, and picking tickers by past performance — the vol screen is the only selection that held up out-of-sample.
Expect ~22–26% win rate: the median trade is a full stop-out and profits come from rare large trends. Validated on 5y of daily bars incl. 515 S&P/N100 names (survivorship-tilted — treat as ceiling). Dry-run evidence only, not financial advice, and separate from the IADSS 3-of-3 signal system.
| Flip | Name | Symbol | Date | Age | Vol 90d | Price | Volume | MC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland-Cliffs | CLF | 2026-08-05 | 89d | 65% | 14.2500 | 14,696,500 | 8,130,835,766 | |
| Nucor | NUE | 2026-10-19 | 14d | 35% | 273.8700 | 1,468,500 | 62,134,440,278 | |
| Steel Dynamics | STLD | 2026-10-28 | 5d | 36% | 250.8000 | 806,800 | 35,668,146,174 | |
| Franco-Nevada | FNV | 2026-10-19 | 14d | 36% | 224.9500 | 607,400 | 43,382,850,885 | |
| Agnico Eagle | AEM | 2026-10-22 | 11d | 48% | 165.3800 | 4,898,100 | 83,607,279,496 | |
| Freeport-McMoRan | FCX | 2026-10-22 | 11d | 43% | 62.4700 | 17,931,100 | 89,708,016,415 | |
| Teck Resources | TECK | 2026-10-22 | 11d | 44% | 60.6100 | 2,715,300 | 29,759,481,934 | |
| Newmont | NEM | 2026-10-23 | 10d | 41% | 106.6100 | 8,760,600 | 110,788,386,087 | |
| B2Gold | BTG | 2026-10-29 | 4d | 58% | 4.6000 | 32,192,300 | 6,076,925,379 | |
| Alcoa | AA | 2026-06-30 | 125d | 43% | 39.1900 | 3,565,300 | 10,344,979,000 | |
| Vale | VALE | 2026-09-17 | 46d | 31% | 11.3900 | 47,392,200 | 48,473,139,696 | |
| SPDR Metals | XME | 2026-09-28 | 35d | 35% | 97.8200 | 1,481,600 | — | |
| Pan American Silver | PAAS | 2026-09-29 | 34d | 49% | 37.9800 | 5,875,300 | 15,747,191,450 | |
| Kinross Gold | KGC | 2026-09-30 | 33d | 53% | 20.1300 | 12,963,800 | 23,713,906,669 | |
| Rio Tinto | RIO | 2026-09-30 | 33d | 27% | 81.8900 | 5,262,000 | 133,185,044,989 | |
| Alamos Gold | AGI | 2026-10-02 | 31d | 47% | 27.4500 | 5,876,800 | 11,489,505,534 | |
| Endeavour Silver | EXK | 2026-10-08 | 25d | 67% | 7.2100 | 6,021,500 | 2,135,201,705 | |
| iShares Metals | PICK | 2026-10-09 | 24d | 26% | 54.7900 | 1,956,100 | — | |
| Barrick Gold | GOLD | 2026-10-12 | 21d | 47% | 38.0300 | 546,700 | 1,106,537,996 | |
| Hecla Mining | HL | 2026-10-14 | 19d | 61% | 13.5300 | 29,886,000 | 9,089,026,692 | |
| ArcelorMittal | MT | 2026-10-14 | 19d | 36% | 59.8100 | 1,036,900 | 44,973,233,861 | |
| Silver Miners ETF | SIL | 2026-10-16 | 17d | 47% | 71.2500 | 1,644,700 | — | |
| BHP Group | BHP | 2026-10-19 | 14d | 32% | 79.1600 | 3,275,600 | 201,183,320,790 | |
| Copper Miners ETF | COPX | 2026-10-20 | 13d | 41% | 71.9600 | 3,440,800 | — | |
| VanEck Jr Gold Miners | GDXJ | 2026-10-20 | 13d | 51% | 94.9700 | 7,856,200 | — | |
| AngloGold Ashanti | AU | 2026-10-21 | 12d | 51% | 79.7900 | 3,272,100 | 40,355,329,399 | |
| VanEck Gold Miners | GDX | 2026-10-23 | 10d | 46% | 77.0900 | 35,726,300 | — | |
| Wheaton Precious | WPM | 2026-10-29 | 4d | 47% | 116.5800 | 4,150,200 | 52,945,969,901 | |
| Fortuna Mining | FSM | 2026-10-30 | 3d | 52% | 8.8800 | 4,954,500 | 2,628,101,630 | |
|
Southern Copper
no data
|
SCCO | — | — | — | — | — | 149,896,258,982 | |
|
US Steel
no data
|
X | — | — | — | — | — | — |